In the last 100 years, the false narrative of the lost cause has littered our history books. Was the Civil War about slavery? Of course not; it was about states’ rights. Well, that is what I was taught in high school. When would you ask the states’ rights to do…
2020 Election
How President Trump took a potential landslide victory and transformed it into a landslide loss in just eleven months Please calm down; President-elect Biden will be inaugurated as President of the United States on January 20, 2021, but hear me out. Looking back to January 1, President Trump was poised…
Final Prediction Key Takeaways National presidential head-to-head: Biden 51.9%, Trump 43.9% (Biden +8)State-level presidential head-to-head:Biden leads: CO, FL, MI, MN, PA, WITrump leads: IN, MO, SCWithin the margin of error: AZ, GA, NC, OH, TXNational presidential favorability (net): Biden +6, Trump -11Senate elections:Democrat leads: CO, MI, NCRepublican leads: AL, KY,…
The sun comes up over the East Coast of the US. Most Americans were looking forward to a mundane set of used automobile sales and bad lawyer commercials to replace the endless political ads that had darkened their TVs for the last few months. However, the news haunted the room,…
The most significant trend that I have noted over the last two weeks is the decrease in the number of undecided voters. For many weeks, between five and seven percent of people surveyed supported neither President Trump nor former Vice-President Biden. Polls conducted post-final presidential debate suggest a dramatic decline…
Statistically, past debates do not move the needle in Presidential Elections. The third and final debate occurred less than 24 hours ago, and every news outlet and political blog has anointed the winner. Without a standard for scoring a debate, determining victory becomes subjective. From my perspective, the final debate…
https://youtu.be/y25NpTDF5Ec In one of the most hotly contested Senate races, the most recent debate between Joni Ernst, incumbent Republican Senator, against Democratic challenger, Theresa Greenfield, showed precisely how distanced a candidate can get from their state. Iowa is one of the senate seats that the Democrats think they may flip…
“All those manufacturing jobs have left Ohio. They’re all coming back. Don’t move. Don’t sell your house” Donald Trump 7/25/2017 Looking back at the 2016 election, Ohio’s voters were disproportionately white working-class, and President Trump’s message resonated with them. (Griffin, Teixeira, & Halpin , 2017) Move ahead four years, Trump…
Key Takeaways Even though President Trump got in most words, debate watchers tend to see former Vice President Biden as the overall winner. However, there was a sizable number who undecided.Nebraska polling data is all over the place regarding who they are going to vote for, everywhere from Biden +7…
Key Takeaways Biden now leads by 9 points nationally (51% to 42%) and maintains his advantage across the seventeen “key” states for my analysis.Biden now leads by 1.1 points in the state of Ohio. This is the first time he has lead in that state for 2020 since July.Biden has…